Prepare a time series plot of data series

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Reference no: EM133128383

As the world's economies become increasingly interdependent, various exchange rates between currencies have become important in making business decisions. For many U.S. businesses, the European Union exchange rate (in euro per U.S. dollar) is an important decision variable. Download the spreadsheet with the data on this exchange rate (EXEUR) by month for a two-year period.

 

Period

EXEUR

 

Period

EXUR

2016

M1

0.921234

2017

M1

0.940291

 

M2

0.901551

 

M2

0.938967

 

M3

0.89815

 

M3

0.935366

 

M4

0.881368

 

M4

0.933358

 

M5

0.884017

 

M5

0.904977

 

M6

0.890313

 

M6

0.890234

 

M7

0.904568

 

M7

0.867303

 

M8

0.892299

 

M8

0.846525

 

M9

0.891424

 

M9

0.839419

 

M10

0.907935

 

M10

0.850702

 

M11

0.926612

 

M11

0.851571

 

M12

0.948317

 

M12

0.84488

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The exchange rate between Euro and Dollar for a two-year period

 

 

The data is retreieved from St Louis FRED

 

 

 

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EXJPUS

  1. Prepare a time series plot of this data series.
  2. Use the naive forecasting model to forecast EXEUR for each month from year 1 M2 through year 3 M1.
  3. Plot actual and forecast values of the series for the year 1 M1 through year 3 M1. (You will not have an actual value for year 3 M1 or a forecast value for year 1 M1)
  4. Calculate RMSE for the period from year 1 M2 through year 2 M12.

Reference no: EM133128383

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