Predict visits for january using the naïve forecast method

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Using the data from Exercise 2.1, calculate MAD and MAPE for exponential smoothing forecasts with a 5 0.3 and with a 5 0.5. Does varying the values of a provide a more accurate forecast?
Exercise 1:
The monthly ambulatory visits shown in Table EX 2.1 occurred in an outpatient clinic.

2125_Table.png

a. Predict visits for January, using the naïve forecast method.

b. Predict visits for January, using a three - period moving average.

c. Predict visits for January, using a four - period moving average.

Reference no: EM131162288

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