Plays independent repetitions of the following game

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A man plays independent repetitions of the following game: at each repetition, he throws a dart onto a circular target. Suppose that the distance D between the impact point of the dart and the center of the target has a U[0,30] distribution. If D ≤ 5, the player wins $1; if 5 Xn be the fortune of the player after repetitions. Then the stochastic process {Xn, n = 0 , 1 , . . . } is a Markov chain.

(a) Find the one-step transition probability matrix of the chain.

Suppose now that the man never stops playing, so that the state space of the Markov chain is the set {0, ± 1 , ± 2 , . . . } Suppose also that the duration (in seconds) of a repetition of the game has an exponential distribution with

mean 30. Then the stochastic process {N(t),t ≥ 0}, where N(t) denotes the number of repetitions completed in the interval [0, t], is a Poisson process with rate λ = 2 per minute.

(c) Calculate the probability that the player will have completed at least three repetitions in less than two minutes (from the initial time).

(d) Calculate (approximately) the probability P[N(25) ≤ 50].

Reference no: EM131130972

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Plays independent repetitions of the following game : A man plays independent repetitions of the following game: at each repetition, he throws a dart onto a circular target. Suppose that the distance D between the impact point of the dart and the center of the target has a U[0,30] distribution. If D ..
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