Percent of computer owners use a macintosh

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1. Suppose that 30 percent of computer owners use a Macintosh, 50 percent use Windows, and 20 percent use  Linux.  Suppose  that  65  percent of the Mac users have succumbed to a computer virus, 82 percent of the Windows users get the virus, and  50  percent  of  the  Linux  users get the virus. We select a person at random and learn that her system was infected with the virus. What is the probability that she is a Windows user?

2. A box contains 5 coins and each has a different probability of showing heads. Let p1,..., p5 denote the probability of heads on each coin.

Suppose that

p1 = 0,  p2 = 1/4,  p3 = 1/2,  p4 = 3/4  and  p5 = 1.

Let H  denote "heads is obtained" and let Ci  denote the event  that coin is selected.

(a)    Select a coin at random and toss it. Suppose a head is obtained. What is the posterior probability that coin iwas selected (= 1,..., 5)? In other words, ?nd P(Ci|H) for = 1,..., 5.

(b)   Toss the coin again. What is the probability of another head? In other words ?nd P(H2|H1) where H= "heads on toss j."

Now suppose that the experiment was carried out as follows: We select a coin at random and toss it until a head is obtained.

(c)  Find P(Ci|B4) where B4 = "?rst head is obtained on toss 4."

Verified Expert

It is easy to find the probability and random selection of the things which are given..firstly we have to think about the given sum by logical method. In that assignment in first sum we are finding the probability of windows user . In the second sum we are finding we are finding the probability of heads on the toss.

Reference no: EM13966618

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