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Now use Excel to do a regression of the inflation rate (X) on the percent changes in stock market indices (Y). Include the data from all eighteen countries, including Japan. Use a significance of .05. Interpret your results (R-square, regression coefficient, and p-value). How would inflation in a foreign country affect the value of foreign profits for a U.S. investor? Explain your answer.
Selected Economic Statistics for 2005 and 2006 by Country*CountryAustraliaBelgiumCanadaFranceGermanyIndonesiaItalyJapanMalaysiaMexicoNetherlandsSingaporeSpainSwedenSwitzerlandThailandUnited KingdomUnited States2005MarketIndex**312.5321.2369.4273.3224.379.0213.8113.5119.5360.1309.6176.3288.6378.3452.576.7217.6302.42006MarketIndex400.6427.5425.7365.7302.8128.0280.6115.8158.9501.0401.8249.4422.1542.6577.681.3278.3343.22005InterestRates***5.462.022.732.032.036.782.170.012.489.202.022.042.191.720.712.624.553.15* Source: U.S. Census Bureau and United Nations** Dow-Jones World Stock Index*** Treasury Bill Rates, if NA Money Market Rates Used20062006PerInterestCapita GNIRates1000's $5.8135.862.7338.464.0336.653.0536.563.0836.819.181.423.1831.990.1238.633.235.627.197.833.0743.052.9528.733.2627.341.7543.531.3658.054.643.054.6540.564.7244.7120062006% Change % ChangeInflation Unemploy- in Market in InterestRatement RateIndicesRates3.54.828.196.411.88.233.0935.152.06.315.2447.621.69.233.8150.251.79.835.0051.7213.1NA62.0335.402.16.831.2446.540.24.12.031100.003.6NA32.9730.243.6NA39.13-21.851.13.929.7851.981.4NA41.4644.613.58.546.2648.861.47.043.431.741.14.027.6591.554.6NA6.0077.103.25.327.902.203.24.613.4949.84
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