New vehicle depends on the severity of the accident

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Mr. Maloy has just bought a new $40,000 sport utility vehicle. Given his health conditions, he believes that there is about a 15% chance of being in an accident (that he caused) in the forthcoming year. If he is involved in an accident (he causes), the damage to his new vehicle depends on the severity of the accident (see table). Mr. Maloy is trying to decide whether he is willing to pay $600 each year to buy collision insurance with a $1500 deductible (i.e. He pays the first $1,500 in damages if he causes an accident and the insurance company pays the remainder.) Should he buy the insurance? (Note that if the accident is caused by another person that other person is responsible to pay for the damages to Mr. Maloy’s vehicle.) Therefore there are only two cases – 1. An accident he causes 2. No accident or an accident caused by someone else.

Probability of an accident (he causes) 15%

Cost of insurance $600

Deductible $1,500

Type of Accident    Cost      Cond. Probability

Total                      $40,000                 5%

Very Bad               $10,000               15%

Unpleasant            $3,000                  25%

Little Damage       $1,000                 55%

Please give me the excel worksheet answer with formulas

Reference no: EM13964314

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