Moving average to forecast number of mergers

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Reference no: EM132662527

Question 1:

Should a firm attempt to have fewer or more suppliers? What are the advantages and disadvantages of each approach? 

Question 2:

Read Problem 6 in Chapter 6 of your textbook. Calculate and answer parts a through d. Include all calculations and spreadsheets in your post. Explain why the moving average method was used instead of another forecasting method. What might be another forecasting method that could prove to be just as useful?

Problem 6:

The figures below indicate the number of mergers that took place in the savings and loan industry over a 12-year period.

Year Mergers

2000 46

2006 83

2001 46

2007 123

2002 62

2008 97

2003 45

2009 186

2004 64

2005 61

2006 83

2007 123

2008 97

2009 186

2010 225

2011 240

Calculate a 5-year moving average to forecast the number of mergers for 2012.

Use the moving average technique to determine the forecast for 2005 to 2011. Calculate measurement error using MSE and MAD.

Calculate a 5-year weighted moving average to forecast the number of mergers for 2012. Use weights of 0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.25, and 0.30,with the most recent year weighted being the largest.

Use regression analysis to forecast the number of mergers in 2012.

Reference no: EM132662527

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