Make a forecast for 2016 using a method

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U.S. Manufactured General Aviation Shipments, 1984-2016

Year Planes Year Planes Year Planes Year Planes

1984 2,431 1992 941 2000 2,816 2008 3,079

1985 2,029 1993 964 2001 2,634 2009 1,585

1986 1,495 1994 928 2002 2,207 2010 1,334

1987 1,085 1995 1,077 2003 2,137 2011 1,323

1988 1,212 1996 1,115 2004 2,355 2012 1,516

1989 1,535 1997 1,549 2005 2,857 2013 1,615

1990 1,144 1998 2,200 2006 3,147 2014 1,631

1991 1,021 1999 2,504 2007 3,279 2015 1,592

(e) Make a forecast for 2016 using a method of your choice (including a judgment forecast). Justify your method. (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.)

The two year moving average forecast for 2016 is __________

Reference no: EM132849057

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