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Transcontinental Airlines maintains a computerized forecasting system to forecast the number of customers in each fare class who will fly on each flight in order to allocate the available reservations to fare classes properly. For example, consider economy-class customers flying in midweek on the noon flight from New York to Los Angeles. The following table shows the average number of such passengers during each month of the year just completed. The table also shows the seasonal factor that has been assigned to each month based on historical data.
(a) After considering seasonal effects, compare the MAD values for the last-value method, the averaging method, the movingaverage method (based on the most recent three months), and the exponential smoothing method (with an initial estimate of 80 and a smoothing constant of α = 0.2) when they are applied retrospectively to the past year.
(b) Use the forecasting method with the smallest MAD value to forecast the average number of these passengers flying in January of the new year.
1. (Computer Experiment.) Compare the risk of the mle and the James- Stein estimator (12.12) by simulation. Try various values of n and various vectors θ. Summarize your results.
What is meant by a distributed lag model and write the equation for a general distributed lag model with an infinite number of lags and for one with k lags.
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Canada Elections Constructing OLS Regression for Candidates
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The Multiple Regression file has already been pre-loaded with the data, so you need only interpret the output. Complete the following tasks: State the multiple regression equation.
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the amounts of soft drink machine is designed to dispense for each drink are normally distributed with a mean of 11.7
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