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1. What are the key success factors and risks for UPS given its business strategy?
2. How is UPS performing? What factors are driving this performance? Is the current performance likely to be sustained? Why or why not?
3. How is FedEx performing? How, if at all, does its performance and plans affect your assessment of the sustainability of UPS=s current performance?
4. Given your assessment of the company=s strategy and the sustainability of its performance, forecast the key factors for UPS=s stock value.
5. What is your estimate of UPS=s value and its multiples? How do your estimates of UPS=s PE and PB multiples compare with those for FedEx? How do they compare with those for the Abest in breed @ companies multiples
Hubbard argues that the Fed can control the Fed funds rate, but the interest rate that is important for the economy is a longer-term real rate of interest. How much control does the Fed have over this longer real rate?
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