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A stock market advisory service offers three investments portfolios for one of its customers. All portfolios have the same investment cost. Portfolio D contains speculative stocks, which aim for capital gain through price appreciation. Portfolio E is made up of stocks of stable companies that pay good dividends overt the long run. Portfolio F comprises stocks with a moderate potential for growth and a moderate yield of dividends.
The customer has enough money to invest in only one of these three portfolios for a period of one year. The net return on investments will depend on whether the economy during the period will be in a stage of inflation, recession, or depression. The net potential gains or losses (in thousands) are calculated as follows:
STATES OF NATURE
Recession
Inflation
Depression
ALTERNATIVES
Portfolio D
$ 45
$ 81
$ 0
Portfolio E
$ 50
$ 85
$ - 10
Portfolio F
$ 55
$ 80
$ - 5
1. DMUU: What would be the decision according to (1) Maximax (optimism); (2) Maximin (pessimism); (3) Realism where α = .8 (4) Equal Likelihood; and (5) Minimizing Regret? Be sure to show work, indicate the recommended alternative each time, provide a summary table (see below), and support your final statement with a reason.
ESHOW ALL WORK AND Expected Answer Format:
DMUU: Letter Answer & Value Reason
Perfect Optimism:
Perfect Pessimism
Optimism at α=___:
Equal Likelihood:
Minimizing Regret:
Choose One : Overall DMUU: ________________ (Give Reasons!)
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