Reference no: EM132375433

Assessment task: Forecasting Health Service Need

Topic:-mental and substance disorders,Local Health District Expenditure by Condition Types, Patients 65+ 1.0 graphs: 2graphs mandatory.

To help identify the implications of this data for the CEO, create two futures for the specific condition you have been allocatedin the graph (see class list).

Provide both of the following future forecasts:

1. One normative future based on existing trends i.e. use the average increase for a condition to determine projected trends for your chosen condition and provide a graph to the year 2035, along with the necessary analysis of potential consequences of a normative trend.

2. Another future where you identify and analyse reliable evidence (academic and professional grey literature) informed service design, delivery and other changes that could positively and/or negatively impact the normative outcomeabove. Provide assumptions and numerical estimates in graph form of the extent of change and rationale for your estimates.

3. For more information, see day 2 presentation .under assessment 2.

Scenario Model CEO Brief Guidelines

Briefing a CEO or anyone who does not know an issue well is not easy, but it can be achieved by carefully constructing a sequence of relevant focused information. The aim is to produce an effective and influential document.

Your audience, the CEO, wants your brief to make life easy for them.

1. Think it through: First, clear writing requires clear thinking. Don't just start writing. Set yourself, your CEO and your document up for success by carefully considering the issues and processes.

2. Design the opportunity: Second, what is the purpose? What question must you answer in your brief? What problem must be solved? Or, what opportunity must be grasped? What are the compelling reasons for a particular course of action?

3. Separate the material: The issue is the summary analysis of factor/s that are currently in play.

4. Cut out unnecessary information: Fourth, ruthlessly discard unnecessary information i.e. text and ideas that are associated but not relevant to your purpose. Often unnecessary information is excessive and irrelevant technical detail. Even if you are Australia's leading expert on a particular topic is no reason to include everything you know in a brief.

5. Recommendations for action: Finally, recommendations for action are only meaningful if they are aligned to the purpose. Each action requires a separate recommendation.

Attachment:- Forecasting Health Service Need.rar