How to calculate expected cash flow probabilities

Assignment Help Risk Management
Reference no: EM132528647

You are considering a 5-year investment project which is expected to cost $1, 000, 000. In each year, you have decided that there are 3 possible states of the economy: good, average, and poor. In each individual year there is a 35% chance of the economy being good and a 15% chance of it being poor. You forecast the following net cash flows for the project:

(a) What is the expected net cash flow each year?

Hint: Do some research on how to calculate expected cash flow given probabilities in each scenario.

You have arranged the following sources of funding: (i) $200,000 from a 5-year fixed interest loan whose annual loan payments are $48,126.91. (ii) $250,000 from a 5-year zero-coupon bond with a face value of $350,000. (iii) $300,000 from an ordinary share issue where a dividend of $18,000 will be paid in one year and it is expected to grow at 3% per annum. (iv) $250,000 from a 5-year coupon-paying bond issue whose coupon rate is 7% and face value is $250,000.

(b) what is the discount rate given above sources of financing?

Hint: The discount rate should be the weighted average cost of capital.

(c) What is the NPV of this investment project and should you invest in this project?

Reference no: EM132528647

Questions Cloud

Determine the contribution margin ratio : Determine the contribution margin ratio, the degree of operating leverage, the break-even point in dollars, and the margin of safety ratio for Waterways
What factors influence group endings : A group has three stages: a beginning, a middle, and an end. What differentiates one stage from another? What factors influence group endings
Calculate the tax cost ratio : Assuming that investors pay taxes on net short-term and long term capital gains at the end highest rate, calculate the tax cost ratio.
Describe briefly the different steps in investing : Describe briefly the different steps in investing. What should an investor establish before developing and executing an investment program?
How to calculate expected cash flow probabilities : You are considering a 5-year investment project which is expected to cost $1, 000, 000. In each year, you have decided that there are 3 possible states
Find and calculate the cost per cuddly koala for job number : How might the managers at Toys World use this information? Prepare journal entries to record the incurrence of production costs.
Profitable project according to the npv decision rule : A project has an initial cost of I, has a required return of r, and pays C annually for N years.
Described an output in a management accounting system : Which of the following can be described as an output in a management accounting system? special report preparation,managing information
What is the payback period for each project : Mario Brothers, a game manufacturer, has a new idea for an adventure game. It can either market the game as a traditional board game

Reviews

Write a Review

Risk Management Questions & Answers

  Describe risks of implementation of the given service

Assignment: Administering Active Directory Rights Management Services. Describe the risks as well as the advantages of implementation of this service.

  How do you deal with risk on a daily basis

Every day we are faced with risks. Take a moment to explain what risk means to you. How do you deal with risk on a daily basis? Why is it important for each person to analyze his or her own personal risks?

  Retirement savings in the securities

Using the example from #1, above - suppose you were required to put all of your retirement savings in the securities of one of these companies.

  Determine the frequency of communications

Project Risks Communications Plan: Identify the stakeholders that communications should go to. Determine the frequency of communications. Construct the types of reports and how they will be delivered

  Plot future worth as function of MARR

Determine the MARR that maximizes FW. Plot future worth as a function of MARR

  Write a risk management plan

Write a 1,050- to 1,400-word risk management plan, recommending at least one risk management option for each of the five threats

  Simple payback period and internal rate of return

Derive an analytical relationship between simple payback period and internal rate of return (IRR) over a 15-year assessment period

  Discuss the organization risk management program

Briefly describe how your organization's risk management program (or a typical health care organization) could address social media and patient information.

  What are the risk factors you foresee in the scenario

Assume that you are the hospital administrator of a 150-bed hospital located in a small town. Your best friend Betty works for the local newspaper in town.

  What areas of risk has this institution identified as threat

What areas of risk has this institution identified as threats? What risk management solutions and practices has this institution put in place to address these risks/threats?

  The measurement or the management of risk

Why is risk measurement and risk management so important? What is more important -- the measurement or the management of risk?

  Explain the importance of credit risk pricing

Explain the importance of credit risk pricing. What are the various factors influencing credit risk pricing? Explain how the credit risk pricing factors in different underlying PDs.

Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd