Reference no: EM133737000
Assignment: Working on Procurement & Inventory Control
Forecasting
I. The Hartley-Devis motorcycle dealer in the Minneapolis St. Paul area wants to be able to forecast accurately the demand for the Roadhog Super motorcycle during the next month. From sales records, the dealer has accumulated the data in the adjacent table for the past year.
1. Compute a three-month moving average forecast of demand for April through January (of the next year).
2. Compute a five-month moving average from June through January.
3. Compare the two forecasts computed in parts (1) and (2) using MAD. Which one should the dealer use for January of next year?
Month
|
Motorcycle sales
|
January
|
9
|
February
|
7
|
March
|
10
|
April
|
8
|
May
|
7
|
June
|
12
|
July
|
10
|
August
|
11
|
September
|
12
|
October
|
10
|
November
|
14
|
December
|
16
|
II. Consider the following demand data for outdoor recreational clothing:
|
Winter
|
Spring
|
Summer
|
Fall
|
Total
|
2021
|
130
|
205
|
115
|
360
|
810
|
2022
|
135
|
210
|
145
|
370
|
860
|
2023
|
145
|
230
|
160
|
430
|
965
|
Total
|
410
|
645
|
420
|
1160
|
2635
|
Develop a seasonally adjusted forecast model for these sales data. Forecast demand for each quarter for 2024 (using a linear trend line forecast estimate for sales in 2024).
Basic Economic Order Quantity Model
III. A local distributor for a national tire company expects to sell approximately 9,600 steel-belted radial tires of a certain size next year. Annual carrying cost is $16 per tire and ordering cost is $75.
Find:
1. What is the optimal order quantity?
2. Determine the total inventory cost.
IV. A flash drive manufacturer uses approximately 32000 silicon chips annually. The chips are used at a steady rate during the 240 days a year that the plant operates. Annual holding cost is $3 per chip, and ordering cost is $120. Determine
1. How much should we order each time to minimize our total cost?
2. How many times should we order in a year?
3. What is the total cost?
Economic Production Quantity Model
V. Lambda Optics makes microscope lens housings. Annual demand is 100,000 units per year. Assume that the product can be produced at the rate of 200,000 units per year. Each production run costs $5,000 to set up, and the variable production cost of each item is $10. The annual cost per dollar value of holding items of inventory is $0.20. Compute
1. Economic production quantity
2. The length of each production run
3. Cycle time
4. Total cost
VI. A toy manufacturer uses 48000 rubber wheels per year. The firm makes its own wheels at a rate of 800 per day. Carrying cost is $1 per wheel per year. Setup cost for a production run is $45. The firm operates 240 days per year. Determine the followings:
1. The optimal production quantity
2. Minimum total annual cost for carrying and setup.
3. Cycle time for the optimal production quantity
4. Production run time for the optimal production quantity.