Historical geometric growth rate

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Reference no: EM133111767

USD

2021 Est.

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

CFO1

2,119

3,278

3,960

3,718

3,346

3,386

2,332

2,792

2,562

2,206

BV1

12,319

11,720 

11,132 

11,159 

  11,712 

10,219 

   9,117 

    8,673 

    9,639 

9,458

Cash return on equity

17.2%

28.0%

35.6%

33.3%

28.6%

33.1%

25.6%

32.2%

26.6%

23.3%

Interest1

75

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CE1

1,559

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Common shares1

302.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 In millions

The historical geometric growth rate using regression smoothing of CFO is 3.0% which is expected to continue in the future.  The market value of the company's debt is USD 5,716.0 million at the end of 2021.

Hint:  When calculating FCFF, use the formula FCFF = CFO + (I)(1 - TR) - CE to estimate FCFF initially and then grow it using a one-stage model and the long-term term rate above.  Remember that the market value of the firm's debt must be deducted to get the market value of equity which is used to determine the value of the share.  Apply historical average historical cash return on equity to normalized CFO as 2021 is an outlier due to COVID 19.

Reference no: EM133111767

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