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Forecast using Regression and Seasonal Index.
1. Using form of Regression method would give you the highest performing model to forecast Sales? Why?
2. Graph the Actual and Forecast over Time Period to give visual evidence of the fit.
3. Using your model, please forecast the sales for:
2008-April;
2008-July;
2009-Oct.;
And 2009-Dec.
Year
Month
Sales (MMs)
Time Period
2005
Jan
243
1
Feb
238
2
Mar
237
3
Apr
185
4
May
193
5
Jun
151
6
Jul
158
7
Aug
167
8
Sep
127
9
Oct
149
10
Nov
173
11
Dec
229
12
2006
288
13
265
14
276
15
224
16
226
17
184
18
194
19
200
20
163
21
22
212
23
277
24
2007
331
25
306
26
318
27
260
28
267
29
219
30
227
31
32
191
33
215
34
242
35
36
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