Fundamentals of decision analysis

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Fundamentals of Decision Analysis

Project Funding

As the President of XYZ’s largest subsidiary, you have two project proposals on your desk. Note: All monetary values cited are in today’s U.S. dollars.

I. Last year, we approved Project I. Upon completion, it will generate $100 M in revenue, and cost $90M. You spent the $90M. The proposal before you now states that an additional $20M is required to complete the project and realize the $100M in revenue. If you do not spend the additional $20M, no revenues will be realized.

II. Project II will generate $80 M in revenue. A trusted advisor tells you that you can secure this deal at a cost of $20 MM.

Now consider the following questions:

a. If you had $100 MM to invest today, which project(s) would you fund?

b. If you had $20 MM to invest today, which project(s) would you fund?

c. If you had known from the start that there would be the additional $20MM required to complete Project I, would it still have deserved funding?

Reference no: EM132269215

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