Reference no: EM133035311
Problem: Burger Lover Restaurant forecasts weekly sales of cheeseburgers.
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Week
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Cheeseburger Sales
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1
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356
|
|
2
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341
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3
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359
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4
|
323
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5
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355
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Based on historical observations over the past five weeks, make a forecast for the next period using the following methods: simple average, three-period moving average, and exponential smoothing with α = 0.3, given a forecast of 335 cheeseburgers for the first week. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places,e.g. 250.25)
Simple average: F6 = ________________
3-Period moving average: F6 = ________________
Exponential smoothing: F6 = ________________
If actual sales for week 6 turn out to be 362, compare the three forecasts using MAD. Which method performed best?
(Calculate your answers using the error only in period 6.)
MAD (simple average) = ________________
MAD (3-period moving average) = ________________
MAD (exponential smoothing) = ________________
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