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Cash bonuses paid to financial investment employees were reduced during the 2007 economic recession and have shown signs of rebounding with the recent recovery. The following data show the average cash bonus, in thousands of dollars, for New York City investment employees over an eight-year period.
Year
Average Cash Bonus ($000)
2005
149.8
2006
191.4
2007
177.8
2008
100.9
2009
140.6
1010
139.0
2011
111.3
2012
121.9
Part A: Using a three-period simple moving average, forecast the average cash bonus for a financial investment employee in New York City in 2013.
Part B: Calculate the MAD for the forecast in part A.
Part C: Using a two-period weighted moving average with the weights 3 and 2, forecast the average cash bonus for a financial investment employee in New York City in 2013.
Part D: Calculate the MAD for the forecast in part C.
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