Reference no: EM133693374
Data-driven Decision Making and Forecasting
Assessment - Fitting and evaluating ARIMA and VAR time series models
Your Tasks
In Class : Compare fitting a SARIMA model to fitting an ARMA model to residuals from a Prophet model, for two time series. Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the two approaches.
In class:
At the beginning of the class, your lecturer will provide you with a dataset and a series of questions to answer. You will create a Word document with the answers to questions. At the end of class, submit your Word file via MyKBS.
Part A: Fit SARIMA models to the two time series and provide plots of the time series and predictions. Provide the acfs of the residuals.
Part B: Obtain residuals from Prophet models and fit ARMA models to these residuals.
Part C: Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the two approaches.
You will then enter the "Video quiz" on MyKBS where you will need to:
Part D: Make a video lasting between 15 to 30 minutes of yourself answering the 7 multiple choice questions based on Workshop 8 material, explaining your reasoning as you progress.
Once you start the quiz you will have 30 minutes to complete it.
Say how confident you are about your responses, share your thought processes, and relate your answers to concepts learned in class.
Part E: Upload your video recording as instructed.
Is believing in god evolutionarily advantageous
: Are world religions simply social experiments run amok, or is there something more to supernatural beliefs that this study quantifies?
|
Explain each media example and provide context
: explain each media example and provide context for what is happening.
|
Clinical course of pulmonary hypertension
: What is the sequence of events that occur during the clinical course of pulmonary hypertension? Severe respiratory distress, left ventricular hypertrophy
|
Does this bible verse align with the psychoanalytic tenets
: In your opinion, does this Bible verse align with the psychoanalytic tenets? If so, how, and if not, why not?
|
Fitting and evaluating arima and var time series models
: Fitting and evaluating ARIMA and VAR time series models, Fit SARIMA models to the two time series and provide plots of the time series and predictions
|
How books of bible fulfilled this need for the israelites
: For example, in much the same way that some of our popular songs have given expression to a wide range of human emotions-joy, anger, pride, fear, hope.
|
Common chest x-ray finding in acute pulmonary embolism
: What is the most common chest x-ray finding in acute pulmonary embolism?
|
Sciatica is radicular gluteal and posterior leg pain
: Sciatica is radicular gluteal and posterior leg pain usually caused by impingement nerve roots at the L4-S1 root levels.
|
Patient presents with knee pain and swelling
: This patient presents with knee pain and swelling. He has been remodeling his house, laying tile and hard wood flooring.
|