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A company is on the verge of a new product launch. Depending on how well the product does in the marketplace, three possible outcomes for next years valuation are: $210m, $150m or $60m. The risk is diversifiable and the outcomes are equally likely. Assume that the risk free interest rate is 5% and ignore all other market imperfections, such as taxes. The company has $120 million in debt due next year.
1. What is the companies total value with leverage?
2. In the event of default 30% of the value of the companies assets will be lost in bankruptcy. What is the companies total value with leverage and distress costs?
Suppose that MM's theory holds with taxes. There is no growth, & $40 of debt is expected to be permanent. Suppose a 40% corporate tax rate.
I am trying to find online data, journal articles or textbook references regarding a business approach to evaluation using ROI in a real-world organization.
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