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Fighting skill relative to the previous battle

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We are in post-apocalyptic earth and only 300 people have survived. There are two tribes, the Knots and the Dots, battling for the last air resources. There is a massive fight and 50 people die. Of the people to die 30 were from the knots tribe and 30% of the people now alive are from the Dots tribe. After a change in climate 20 people from the Knots tribe join the Dots tribe. If you are in the Knots tribe what is the probability that you will die in the next battle assuming no change in fighting skill relative to the previous battle?

Reference no: EM132361847

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