Exponential smoothing from data in milestone one

Assignment Help Operation Management
Reference no: EM131925674

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

For this milestone, the goal is to allow you to continue your analysis form Milestone One and forecast various operational parameters for your chosen phone option. There are numerous forecasting tools and techniques available. However, for this project you will only use the nalve, moving average, and exponential smoothing (technique). In addition, you will evaluate trends in time series data, an invaluable skill in the business operations industry. Do not forget to include any assumptions you made during your analysis, as this will be important to decision makers reviewing your documentation.

PROMPT

Often times as part of a Business Case Analysis (BCA), a forecast technique will be utilized to support the recommendation(s). In this milestone, you will complete the forecasting report.

This activity will address the following Module Outcomes:

Predict the best forecasting model for a given business process and associated historical data, using naive forecasts, moving averages, exponential smoothing, and trends in time series data. (CO#1, CO#3, CO#4, CO#5)

Assess the best option for sequencing steps in a process utilizing a variety of scheduling rules including shortest-processing-time, weighted-shortest-processing-time, and earliest-due-date. (CO#2)

TASKS

Using the phone option, you recommended in Milestone One, complete the following:

1. Forecasting using naive, moving averages, and exponential smoothing from data in Milestone One.

2. Evaluation of trends in time series data relating to Milestone One choice you selected (there will be data set for each of four possible options).

3. Provide recommendation for and justify a 3-year forecast for expected sales of phones in two different market locations (geographical) (this will be in the format of a Forecast Report, using the provided templatePreview the document.

Compose your work in a .doc or .docx file type using a word processor (such as Microsoft Word, etc.) and save it frequently to your computer. For those assignments that are not written essays and require uploading images or PowerPoint slides, please follow uploading guidelines provided by your instructor.

Check your work and correct any spelling or grammatical errors. When you are ready to submit your work, click "Upload Submission." Enter the submission title and then click on "Select a file to upload." Browse your computer, and select your file. Click "Open" and verify the correct file name has appeared next to Submission File. Click on "Continue." Confirm submission is correct and then click on "Accept Submission & Save."

This course has Turnitin fully integrated into the course dropbox. This means that you should only submit your assignments to the dropbox below. Please do not submit your assignment.

Once submitted, your assignment will be evaluated by Turnitin automatically. You will be able to view an Originality Report within minutes of your first submission that will show how much of your work has been identified as similar to other sources such as websites, textbooks, or other student papers. Use your Originality Report as a learning tool to identify areas of your assignment that you may not have cited appropriately. You may resubmit your assignment through this dropbox as many times as you need to check to see if you have made improvements, until the due date of the assignment. However, once you have made your first submission, you will need to wait 24 hours after each subsequent submission to receive a new Originality Report. Plan accordingly as you draft your assignment. Once the due date has passed, your assignment submission will be considered final.

APA STYLE. REFERNCESS

Attachment:- Report template.rar

Verified Expert

The paper is in relation to Forecasting, its meaning, techniques, assumptions, methodologies, results being evaluated and assessed. Forecasting helps in making estimation of the future performance and effective forecasting helps in framing process and principles in meeting the forecasts.

Reference no: EM131925674

Questions Cloud

Complete a term paper of adult development and aging : The purpose of this paper is to give you an opportunity to explore and learn more about a particular aspect of adult development and aging.
The same expected return and standard deviation : Assume three securities have the same expected return and standard deviation.
Determine the values of the price elasticity of demand : Determine the values of the price elasticity of demand and the income elasticity of demand.
A recommendation report about the second headquarter : Prepapre a recommendation report about the Second Headquarters for Mega Tech.
Exponential smoothing from data in milestone one : Forecasting using naive, moving averages, and exponential smoothing from data in Milestone One - Provide recommendation for and justify a 3-year forecast
Branches of government work : Since "Separation of Powers" is not expressively stated in the Constitution, how do you think our three branches of government work and function under.
Define and provide an original example of microexpressions : Define and provide an original example of microexpressions. What is a self-report, how does it collect data and what issues are there with using self-report?
What is the net present worth of this project : The firm's tax rate is 34%, and its market interest rate is 21%. What is the net present worth of this project?
Explain how a firm can increase profits : Explain how a firm can increase profits even when the market price of its output is falling. Your explanation should refer to marginal productivity theory

Reviews

len1925674

4/3/2018 2:30:35 AM

30.0 pts Additional Comments This criterion is linked to a Learning Outcome Writing Quality/APA Style 10.0 pts Level 4 The writing is well organized and clear; there are minimal problems with spelling, punctuation, and grammar; APA style guidelines are followed accurately. 8.0 pts Level 3 There are few problems with organization, clarity or conventions that should have been fixed. APA style guidelines are followed, with only minor errors; however, these problems and errors are not serious enough to distract the reader. 6.0 pts Level 2 Numerous mechanical errors are distracting; and organization of ideas are lacking, but not enough to interfere with meaning. APA style guidelines are attempted, with major errors. 0.0 pts Level 1 Frequent problems with organization, clarity and/or conventions make the paper hard to read. APA style guidelines are not adhered to. Possible plagiarism risks the appearance of cheating. 10.0 pts

len1925674

4/3/2018 2:29:24 AM

30.0 pts Additional Comments This criterion is linked to a Learning Outcome Recommendations 30.0 pts Level 4 The recommendations on three-year forecast are thoroughly laid out, and are relevant and specific. Recommendations are supported with clear, thorough, appropriate, and evidence-based explanations and justifications relevant to expected sales of phones in two different market locations, including any assumptions. 24.0 pts Level 3 The recommendations on three-year forecast are clearly laid out, and are relevant, but information necessary is missing. Recommendations are supported with appropriate and evidence-based explanations and justifications relevant to expected sales of phones in two different market locations, including any assumptions, with some major details missing. 18.0 pts Level 2 Recommendations on the three-year forecast are provided but are not appropriate. Recommendations are vaguely supported, with inaccurate justifications not necessarily relevant to expected sales of phones in two different market locations, including any assumptions.

len1925674

4/3/2018 2:27:35 AM

30.0 pts Additional Comments This criterion is linked to a Learning Outcome Trends 30.0 pts Level 4 Interpretations of trends in the time series data are thorough and accurate. Justifications are thorough and accurate, identifying clearly specific sections as evidence and discussing them with detail. 24.0 pts Level 3 Interpretations of trends in the time series data are accurate. Justifications are accurate and appropriate, identifying sections as evidence and discussing them, with some important details missing. 18.0 pts Level 2 Interpretations of the trends in the time series data are brief, and reflect major misconceptions and/or incomplete understanding. 0.0 pts Level 1 Interpretations of the trends in the time series data are barely presented, if at all.

len1925674

4/3/2018 2:27:04 AM

Evaluation This assignment will be graded using the rubric displayed below. Please review this rubric prior to beginning your work. Please see rubric below. Criteria Ratings Pts This criterion is linked to a Learning Outcome Forecasting 30.0 pts Level 4 The resulting forecasts are accurate and complete based off the data from Milestone 1. Interpretations of the various operational parameters are thorough and accurate. Justifications are thorough and accurate, identifying clearly specific data as evidence and discussing them with detail. 24.0 pts Level 3 The resulting forecasts based off the data from Milestone 1 are accurate. Interpretations of the various operational parameters are accurate. Justifications are thorough and accurate, identifying specific data as evidence, with some important details missing. 18.0 pts Level 2 The resulting forecasts based off the data from Milestone 1 are brief, and interpretations of the various operational parameters are vaguely supported, with inaccurate justifications not necessarily relevant to specific data as evidence. 0.0 pts Level 1 The resulting forecasts based off the data from Milestone 1 are barely presented, if at all.

Write a Review

Operation Management Questions & Answers

  Book review - the goal

Operations Management is about a book review. Title of the book is "Goal". This book has been written by Dr. Eliyahu Goldartt. The book has been appreciated by many as one of those books which offers an insight into the operations and strategic capac..

  Operational plan in hospitality enterprise

Operational plan pertaining to a hospitality enterprise is given in detail in the solution. The operational plan is an important plan or preparation which gives guidelines regarding the role and responsibilities of each and every operation at all lev..

  Managing operations and information

Recognise the importance of a strategic approach to the development and deployment of organisational information systems. Demonstrate an understanding of the importance of databases and their integration to the organisation's overall information mana..

  A make-or-buy analysis

An analysis of the holding costs, including the appropriate annual holding cost rate.

  Evolution and contributor of operations management

Briefly explain Evolution and contributor of Operations management.

  Functions and responsibilities of an operations manager

A number of drivers of change have transformed the roles, functions and responsibilities of an operations manager over recent years. These drivers have not only been based on technological innovations but also on the need for organisations to develop..

  Compute the optimal order quantity

Compute the Optimal Order quantity of DVD players. Determine the appropriate reorder point.

  Relationship to operations practice in the organisation

Evaluate problems in operations and identify approaches to overcoming them. Critically evaluate operating plans and identify areas for improvement. Justify, implement and evaluate changes to operations in line with modern approaches.

  A make or buy analysis

Develop a report for Figi Fabricating that will address the question of whether the company should continue to purchase the part from the supplier or begin to produce the part itself.

  Prepare a staffing plan

Prepare a staffing plan showing the change of your unit from medical/surgical staffing to oncology staffing.

  Leadership styles in different organizations

Ccompare the effectiveness of different leadership styles in different organizations

  Risk management tools and models

Be able to understand the concept of risk, roles and responsibilities for risk management and risk management tools and models.

Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd