Expected return for the coming? year

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Reference no: EM131320892

Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 5?% return for the coming year. A second expects the return to be −6?%. A third predicts a return of 9?%. A fourth expects a 2?% return in the coming year. You are relatively confident that the return will be positive but not? large, so you arbitrarily assigned probabilities of being correct of 28 %, 9%?, 17%?, and 46?%, ?respectively, to the? analysts' forecasts. Given these? probabilities, what is Fluorine? Chemicals expected return for the coming? year?

Reference no: EM131320892

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