Evaluate the return and risk associated with asset

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Question:

Ryan, a financial analyst for DMC Products, a manufacturer of school benches, must evaluate the risk and return of two assets, X and Y. The firm is considering adding these assets to its diversified asset portfolio. To assess the return and risk of each asset, Ryan gathered data on the annual cash flow and beginning- and end-of-year values of each asset over the immediately pre- ceding 10 years, 1994-2003. These data are summarized in the accompanying table. Ryan's investigation suggests that both assets, on average, will tend to perform in the future just as they have during the past 10 years. He therefore believes that the expected annual return can be estimated by finding the average annual return for each asset over the past 10 years.

Return Data for Assets X and Y, 1994-2003

Year

 

Asset X

 

 

Asset Y

 

Cash flow

 

Value

Cash flow

 

Value

Beginning

Ending

Beginning

Ending

1994

$1,000

$20,000

$22,000

$ 1,500

$20,000

$20,000

1995

1,500

1/,000

21,000

1,600

20,000

20,000

1996

1,400

21,000

24,000

1,700

20,000

21,000

1997

1.700

24,000

22,000

1,800

21,000

21,000

1998

1,900

22,000

23,000

1,900

21,000

22,000

1999

1,600

13,000

26,000

2,000

22,000

23,000

2000

1,700

26,000

25,000

2,100

23,000

23,000

2001

2,000

25,000

24,000

2,200

23,000

24,000

2002

2,100

24,000

27,000

2,300

24,000

25,000

2003

2,200

27,000

30,000

2,400

25,000

25,000

Ryan believes that each asset's risk can be assessed in two ways: in isolation and as part of the firm's diversified portfolio of assets. The risk of the assets in isolation can be found by using the standard deviation and coefficient of varia- tion of returns over the past 10 years. The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) can be used to assess the asset's risk as part of the firm's portfolio of assets. Applying some sophisticated quantitative techniques, he estimated betas for assets X and Y of 1.60 and 1.10, respectively. In addition, he found that the risk- free rate is currently 7% and that the market return is 10%.

a. Calculate the annual rate of return for each asset in each of the 10 preceding years, and use those values to find the average annual return for each asset over the 10-year period.

b. Use the returns calculated in part a to find (1) the standard deviation and (2) the coefficient of variation of the returns for each asset over the 10-year period 1994-2003.

c. Use your findings in parts a and b to evaluate and discuss the return and risk associated with each asset. Which asset appears to be preferable? Explain.

d. Use the CAPM to find the required return for each asset. Compare this value ?with the average annual returns calculated in part a.

e. Compare and contrast your findings in parts c and d. What recommendations ?would you give Ryan with regard to investing in either of the two assets? Explain to Ryan why he is better off using beta rather than the standard deviation and coefficient of variation to assess the risk of each asset.

Reference no: EM131919252

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