Evaluate the decision facing harlow

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a. Build a decision tree to evaluate the decision facing Harlow. What would you recommend? (Be sure to state all your assumptions and show all your analysis.)

b. To which assumption (other than Mr. Merck's) is your analysis most sensitive, and what might be done to manage the related risks?

c. Foresight Consulting has offered to conduct research that will enable it to predict KL-798's outcome in the Phase 1 trials. How much would this information be worth to Merck if Foresight's predictions were always correct?

2. Suppose we relax the assumption that we will always follow Mr. Merck's advice. How much does the expected value increase? Now what should we do with regard to KL-798?

Reference no: EM133030791

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