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Estimating the expected cost

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KLM Company is expanding its supply chain to include a new distribution hub in Miami. A key decision involves the number of trucks for the facility. The particular model of truck KLM is considering can be used 8,000 miles a month and will cost $1,500 a month in capital costs. In addition, each mile a truck is used costs $0.90 for maintenance. A local truck rental firm will rent trucks at a cost of $1.40 per mile. GIven the distribution of likely requirements for trucks, management has come up with three alternatives to consider as shown in the table:

Monthly requirements (miles)

40,000

80,000

120,000

Probability

0.30

0.40

0.30

Fleet size (trucks)

5

10

15

What is the expected cost for each option? Which fleet size will yield the lowest expected monthly costs for KLM and what is that cost?

 

 

Reference no: EM13105622

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