Estimate the value of the investment timing option

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Tropical Sweets is planning a project that will cost $70 million and will create expected cash flows of $30 a year for next 3-years. The cost of capital for this type of project is 10% and the risk-free rate is 6%. After discussions with the marketing department, you learn that there is a 30 percent chance of high demand, with future cash flows of $45 million per year. There is a 40 percent chance of average demand, with cash flows of $30 million per year. If demand is low (a 30 percent chance), cash flows will be only $15 million per year. What is the expected NPV?
Use decision tree analysis to calculate the NPV of the project with the investment timing option.
Use a financial option pricing model to estimate the value of the investment timing option.
Use a financial option model to estimate the value of the growth option.

Reference no: EM1373021

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