Estimate the expected value of the spot rate

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Question - Suppose you are a British venture capitalist holding a major stake in an e-commerce start-up in Silicon Valley. As a British resident, you are concerned with the pound value of your U.S. equity position. Assume that if the American economy booms in the future, your equity stake will be worth $928, and the exchange rate will be $1.33/£. If the American economy experiences a recession, on the other hand, your American equity stake will be worth $786, and the exchange rate will be $1.38/£. You assess that the American economy will experience a boom with a 70 percent probability and a recession with the remaining probability. Estimate the expected value of the spot rate?

Reference no: EM133057759

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