Estimate the expected rate of return

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Reference no: EM13250373

1. The Fisher equation tells us that the real interest rate approximately equals the nominal rate minus 'the inflation rate. Suppose the inflation rate increases from 3% to 5%. Does the Fisher equation imply that this increase will result in a fall in the real rate of interest? Explain.

2. You've just stumbled on a DM dataset that enables you to compute historical rates of return on U.S. stocks all the way back to 1880. What are the advantages and disadvantages in using these data to help estimate the expected rate of return on U.S: stocks over the coming year?

3, You are considering two alternative 2-year investments: You can invest in a risky asset with a positive risk premium and returns in each of the 2 years that will be identically distributed and uncorrelated, or you can invest in the risky asset for only I year and then invest the proceeds in a risk-free asset. Which of the following statements about the first investment alternative are true?

a. Its 2-year risk premium is the same as the second alternative.

b. The standard deviation of its 2-year return is the same.

r. Its annualized standard deviation is lower.

d. Rs Sharpe ratio is higher.

e. It is relatively more attractive to investors who have lower degrees of risk aversion.

4. You have $5,000 to invest for the next year and are considering three alternatives:

a. A money market fund with an average maturity of 30 days offering a current yield of 6% per year.

b. A 1-year savings deposit at a bank offering an interest rate of 7.5%.

c. A 20-year U.S. TIvasury bond offering a yield to maturity of 9% per year.

What role does your forecast of future interest rates play in your decisions?

5. Use Figure in the text to analyze the effect of the following on the level of real interest rates:

a. Businesses become more pessimistic about future demand for their products and decide to reduce their capital spending. c

b. Households are induced to save more because of increased uncertainty about their future Social Security benefits.

e. The Federal. Reserve Board undertakes open-market purchases of U.S. Treasury securities in order to increase the supply of money.

6. You are considering the choice between investing $50,000 in a conventional 1-year bank CD offering an interest rate of 5% and a 1-year "Inflation-Plus" CD offering 1.5% pm. year plus the rate of inflation.

a. Which is the safer investment?
b. Which offers the higher expected return?
C. If you expect III rate of inflation to be 3% over the next year, which is the better investment? Why?
d. If we observe a risk-free nominal interest rate of 5% per year and a risk-free real rate of 1.5% on inflation-indexed bonds, can we infer that the market's expected rate of inflation is 3.5% per year?

Question 7. Suppose your expectations regarding the stock price are as follows,

State of the Market       Probability      Ending Price      HPR (Including Dividends)

Boom                               .35                     $140                 44.5%

Normal Growth                   .30                      110                  14.0

Recession                         .35                       80                   16.5

 

Use equation 5.11 and 5.12 to complete the mean and standard deviation of the HPR on stocks. 

10.  The continuously compounded annual return on a stock is normally distributed with a mean of 20% and standard deviation of 30%. With 95.44% confidence, we should expect its actual return in any particular year to be between which pair of values? Hint: Look again at Figure 5.4.

11.  Using historical risk premiums over the July 1926 to September 2012 period as your guide, what would be your estimate of the expected annual HPR on the Big/Value portfolio if the current risk-free interest rate is 3%?

12.  During a period of severe inflation, a bond offered a nominal HPR of 80% per year. The inflation rate was 70% per year.

13.  An economy is making a rapid recovery from steep recession, and businesses foresee a need for large amounts of capital investment. Why would this development affect real interest rates?

Chapter 5 Keeps total 17 Questions and 5 Extra Questions, Chapter 6 Contains total 6 problems marked in circle in pdf file

Attachment:- Chapter 5 and 6.pdf

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The Solution file contains bodie kane and marcus investments Chapter 5 and Chapter 6 Solutions 

Chapter 5 Conatins total 17 Problem's Solutions and and 5 Extra Problems and Solutions

Chapter 6 Contains the questions;s solutions marked in ciricle in attached pdf file.

Reference no: EM13250373

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