Estimate exposure to the exchange risk

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Suppose that you hold a piece of land in the city of London that you may want to sell in one year. As a U.S. resident, you are concerned with the dollar value of the land. Assume that if the British economy booms in the future, the land will be worth £2,000, and one British pound will be worth $1.80. If the British economy slows down, on the other hand, the land will be worth less, say, £1,500, but the pound will be stronger, say, $2.20/£. You feel that the British economy will experience a boom with a 60 percent probability and a slowdown with a 40 percent probability. Estimate your exposure to the exchange risk.

Reference no: EM132681715

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