Draw the decision tree and derive optimal decision

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Q. You are a bank manager. Ranga has approached your bank for a million dollar loan. The bank can charge 10% interest from Ranga for this loan. The bank will buy government bonds at 4% interest rate in case Ranga's application is rejected. You think there is 10% chance that Ranga would default on his loan based on your knowledge about Ranga. At a cost of about $1000, the bank can investigate and figure out Ranga's complete credit history.

Based on the past performance, you know that the credit reports give a favourable credit rating 80% of the time when the customer honours loan commitments; and unfavourable credit rating 20% of the time even when the customer honours loan commitments. The credit reports give a favourable credit rating 25% of the time and an unfavourable credit rating 75% of the time when the customer does not honour loan commitments.

Draw the decision Tree and Derive Optimal decision

Compute Expected Value of Perfect Information

Compute expected Value of Sample Information

Reference no: EM13103437

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