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Problem -
Leah Johnson, director of Urgent Care of Brookline, wants to increase capacity to provide low-cost flu shots but must decide whether to do so by hiring another full-time nurse or by using part-time nurses. The table below shows the expected costs of the two options for three possible demand levels:
States of Nature
Alternatives
Low Demand
Medium Demand
High Demand
Hire full-time
$300
$500
$700
Hire part-time
$0
$350
$1,000
Probabilities
.2
.5
.3
a) Using expected value, what should Ms. Johnson do?
b) Draw an appropriate decision tree showing payoffs and probabilities.
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