Discuss the behavior, Choose one data set. Graph the data

Discuss the behavior

Reference no: EM133233116

Assignment:

Choose one data set. Graph the data and briefly discuss the behavior. Which forecasting method do you think will perform better? Why?

Use the data from Jan'92 to Dec'16 to run three forecasting methods: MA (choose the number of periods you consider adequate), exponential smoothing (choose the alpha you consider adequate), and a simple regression (with X representing the month). What model performs better? Why?

Split your data in two: from Jan'92 to Dec'07 and from Jan'10 to Jan'17. Run a regression analysis for both data sets. What can you conclude? What do the parameters tell you?

If a regression model for the data from Jan'08 to Dec'09 were run, how will the parameters look?

Reference no: EM133233116

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