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Question - The following time series shows the sales of supermarket chain over the last six months.
Month
Sales ($ 000)
August 2021
250
Sep 2021
280
Oct 2021
295
Nov 2021
320
Dec 2021
380
Jan 2022
360
Required -
(a) Develop a linear trend equation that can be used to forecast sales in Feb 2022?
(b) Forecast the sales in Feb 2021 using a three-period weighted moving average designed with the following weights: Nov 2021 weight 0.6, Dec 2021 weight 0.3 and Jan 2022 weight 0.1. Which method (A or B) is the best? Explain why.
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