Determining the arbitrage opportunity

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Suppose that the economy is described by three growth states: strong, moderate, and weak. The probabilities of strong, moderate, and weak growth states are 0.3, 0.5 and 0.2, respectively. Assume that the risk-free rate is 2%. 

Consider a different distribution of returns:

 

Strong Growth

Moderate Growth

Weak Growth

A

30%

10%

-10%

B

16.3%

-3.9%

5.3%

C

5.5%

-2.7%

18.5%

1. Is there an arbitrage opportunity? Explain your answer, and if the answer is "yes", describe in detail how you would take advantage of it.

Reference no: EM133062593

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