Determine which smoothing constants provide better forecast

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Resolve Problem with α = .1 and β = .8. Using MSE, determine which smoothing constants provide a better forecast.

Problem - Income at the architectural firm Spraggins and Yunes for the period February to July was as follows:

MONTH

FEBUARY

MARCH

APRIL

MAY

JUNE

JULY

Income (in $ thousand)

70.0

68.5

64.8

71.7

71.3

72.8

Use trend-adjusted exponential smoothing to forecast the firm's August income. Assume that the initial forecast average for February is $65,000 and the initial trend adjustment is 0. The smoothing constants selected are α = .1 and β = .2.

Reference no: EM131353501

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