Determine the subset of variables

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Reference no: EM13926971

Agency revenues. An economic consultant was retained by a large employment agency in a metropolitan area to develop a

regression model for predicting monthly agency revenues ( y ). She decided that three economic indicators for the area were

potentially useful as independent variables, namely, average weekly overtime hours of production workers in manufacturing ( 1

x ), number of job vacancies in manufacturing ( 2 x ), and index of help wanted advertising in newspapers ( 3 x ). Monthly

observations on agency revenues and the three independent variables were obtained for the past 25 months. The ANOVA table

for the model y=b0 +b1x1 +b2x2 +b3x3 +e is as follows:

         Source

            d.f.

              SS

             MS

       Regression

             3

           5409.89

 

          1803.30

 

         Error

             21

 

           16.35 

             0.78

 

        Total

            24

 

          5426.24

 

 

The consultant decided to screen the independent variables to determine the best set for predicting agency revenues..

The regression sums of squares for all possible regression models were found to be as follows:

Independent variables in the model             SSR

X1                                                           2970.64

X2                                                           3654.85

X3                                                           3584.54

X1, X2                                                      5123.80

X1, X3                                                      5409.59

X2, X3                                                       3741.30

X1, X2, X3                                                  5409.89

(a) Determine the subset of variables that is selected as best by the forward selection procedure using F0* = 4.2 (to-add-

variable). Show your steps.

 (b) Determine the subset of variables that is selected as best by the backward elimination procedure using F0** = 4.1

(to-delete-variable). Show your steps.

NOTE: ( t0** ) 2 = F0**

(c) Determine the subset of variables that is selected as best by the stepwise regression procedure using F0* = 4.2 (to-add)

and F0** = 4.1  (to-delete). Show your steps.

2) In a survey to determine child care costs for working parents, the local Chamber of Commerce randomly samples licensed

child care centers in four regions of the metropolitan area. The purpose of the survey is to see whether and how average child

care expense varies according to region. The following figures are the weekly costs of

child care for a 2-year-old:

Suburban East      Downtown Area                 Suburban West              Suburban South

 90.00                        94.00                             82.00                             86.50

 87.50                        97.50                             84.50                             88.00

 89.50                        94.00                             88.00                             89.50

  90.00                       92.50                             85.50                             85.00

Establish whether average costs are equal across the four regions; if not, do a follow-up analysis to determine which are the

same and which differ. (Use ? =0.10). List all necessary assumptions and indicate which might be suspect. Also perform a

non-parametric analysis.

Verify your results using SAS.

3) A chain of convenience stores tested a display for a new snack product by placing the display in four different locations in

various stores; at the entrance, in the snack section, by the cash register, and with the soft drinks. Each display location was

utilized in three stores over a one-week test period. Because the 12 stores which used to test the display differ somewhat in

overall sales volume, they were divided into three categories. Within each category, the assignment of stores to display

method was random. Units sold are shown in the following table:

                                   Unit Sales, by Location Display

 Store

Sales Volume            Entrance         Snacks         Register         Drinks

Below average               46                38                 57                54

Average                        62                50                 67                 67

Above average               75                62                 89                77

Is it possible to be 99% certain that the display locations' mean sales are not equal? Conduct the appropriate follow-up

analysis (use ? =0.01) to establish which means are significantly different. List all necessary assumptions and indicate which

might be suspect. Also perform a non-parametric analysis. Verify your results using SAS.

Reference no: EM13926971

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