Determine the probabilities of large winds

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Reference no: EM131853005

The wind velocity has been measured for the past 5 years at an airport with the following results.

487_large construction project.png

A large construction project is proceeding adjacent to the site and you are asked to determine the probabilities of large winds in the first two months of construction and in the first year of construction. Use a Poisson model and a diffuse prior distribution on the mean rate of occurrence.

Reference no: EM131853005

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