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Samsung is trying to forecast demand for first quarter 2017 for one of their memory chips.
Using exponential smoothing, Alpha = 0.2, a forecast for second quarter 2016 of 165,000 chips, and the actual production below.
Calculate the forecast for first quarter 2017 and determine the mean absolute deviation.
Quarter
Memory Chips Produced
Second Quarter 2016
175,000
Third Quarter 2016
142,000
Fourth Quarter 2016
165,000
First Quarter 2016
TBD
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