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A Managerial problem - Decision Under Uncertainty
An investor is considering five possible investment strategies. The investor cares only about the expected payoff and possibly the variance of each strategy. The following table shows the payoffs under bad luck and good luck and the associated probabilities.
Strategy
Bad Luck Payoff
Probability of Bad Luck
Good Luck Payoff
Probability of Good Luck
A
4
0.6
9
0.4
B
5
0.3
0.7
C
2
0.5
12
D
0.8
11
0.2
E
3
10
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