Determine for the incident rate and average severity

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Reference no: EM133099163

You are given the following information concerning past workers compensation losses for Doom Factory, Inc (DFI):

Accident Year

Period

Ultimate WC Frequency

Number of Employees

Incident Rate

2013

1

6,832

14,350

 

2014

2

6,984

14,750

 

2015

3

7,068

15,005

 

2016

4

7,253

15,460

 

2017

5

7,892

16,893

 

2018

6

8,124

17,439

 

2019

7

8,250

17,821

 

Accident Year

Period 

Ultimate WC Frequency

Ultimate WC Losses (000's)

Average Severity

2013

1

6,832

8,325

 

2014

2

6,984

11,289

 

2015

3

7,068

16,036

 

2016

4

7,253

24,012

 

2017

5

7,892

34,213

 

2018

6

8,124

50,183

 

2019

7

8,250

73,565

 

Given this information, compute the following information for DFI:

  1. The incident rates for 2013-2019.  Using these rates, fit an estimation model and provide a forecast for the incident rate for 2020.  Show your model.  Also show any graphs necessary to justify the model you create.
  2. The average severity for 2013-2019.  Using these figures, fit an estimation model and provide a forecast for the average severity for 2020.  Show your model.  Also show any graphs necessary to justify the model you create.
  3. DFI estimates that it will have 18,150 workers in 2019.  Based on the forecasts you determine for the incident rate and average severity, give a forecast of the WC losses for 2020.  Show your calculations.

The answer to the above questions will be part of your forecasting quiz.  You are required to work on this assignment independently.  Each student should send me a copy of his or her own completed Excel file to receive credit for this quiz.  Failure to send me your file will result in a zero for your grade on the quiz.

Reference no: EM133099163

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