Reference no: EM133649915

Questions 

1. Which past event do you believe is most indicative of what world politics will look like over the next 10-15 years-German invasion of Poland (1939), the Cuban Missile Crisis, the fall of the Berlin Wall, or the endurance of North Korea after Soviet collapse?

2. What does Russia's ongoing war against Ukraine tell us about the likely future of world politics in the coming 10-15 years? Is it a prelude to the global war as defined by the long cycles theory or does it show that peaceful "macrodecision" is still a possibility?

3. In NIC's Global Trends 2040 future scenarios,the world's top analysts of global politics failed to anticipate Russia's massive brutal attack on Ukraine in Feb 2022. Why did they fail? Which IR theory/theories did they neglect? What typical decisionmaking biases could have been at play?

4. Describe major threats to international security arising from nuclear-armed dictatorships resorting to the tactics of global terrorists. Provide two examples from recent developments. Which of the five specific measures of the global decision process identified by Modelski in "Global Politics Scenario for the Year 2016" could be most helpful to counter this challenge?