Derive the probability distribution of the completion times

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Reference no: EM1382438

Question:

a. The following probability distributions relate to the completion times, in weeks, TA and TB of two independent activities, A and B respectively.

t

Pr(TA =t)

2

0.20

4

0.35

6

0.25

8

0.20

t

Pr(TB =t)

3

0.25

5

0.50

7

0.25

The activities A and B form a important phase of a project.

i). Derive the probability distribution of the completion times of this phase if the two activities are undertaken in:

   a. series

   b. parallel

ii) For each of the distribution in (i) above, calculate their relevant statistics.

A task is known to have the following time to completion (in days), T and cost, C probability distribution, respectively: TN(20,25)

The distribution of C is conditional on T and is given by:

                                                              N(1500,4900),    T ≤ 22;

                                                C   ≈      N(1800,4900),    22<T ≤ 25;

                                                              N(2300,4900),    25< T.

Calculate:

i). Pr(T≤ 25);

ii Pr(C≤ 2200).

Reference no: EM1382438

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