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Prediction is basically the art and science of forecasting future events. Sometimes we take historical data and extrapolate it into the future, however there are problems with putting the past into the future as you may imagine. Sometimes we use Delphi groups or think tank personnel to use their knowledge to predict the future, and sometimes we simply rely on our intuition. At Estee Lauder we used a form of regression analysis called exponential smoothing which worked quite well for us. Stephen Jobs in a speech he gave, mentioned that we can connect the dots backwards but we cannot connect the dots forward.
As we begin our discussion on regression analysis, let’s first define independent and dependent variable. Also I want to introduce the concept of intervening variables. For example, people in France who drank wine were found to have fewer heart problems than people who did not. The conclusion was that wine is good for the heart – which I’m sure that you have heard. Later, researchers found that it was not the wine but the socializing that was going on while drinking the wine that had the healthy heart affect. We would call the socializing an intervening variable.
Offer you own definition of independent and dependent variables with an example. For you example, take a guess at a possible intervening variable that could be at play.
Describe the basic types of organizational structures. What effect does stakeholders or the environment have on organization structure? Give examples of how organizational structures allow an organization to be successful (or fail). .
Why is some knowledge of accounting necessary to succeed in business? Provide examples.
Determine the optimal number of loaves to bake each morning.
Many jobs use a variety of assessment methods (for example, The Wonderlic Test) in the selection process. One question that many organizations fail to ask is, "How do applicants react to this assessment strategy?" For example, organizations use pe..
The general store at state university is an auxilary bookstore located near the dormitories that sells academic supplies, toliletries, sweatshirts and T-shirts, magazines packaged food items, and canned soft drinks and fruit drinks. determine how man..
What are at least five new product ideas that could really increase new revenue for Wendy's Fast Food Restaurant? Out of the ideas you list which one do you think would really have the best chance of succeeding in generating additional revenue and no..
Jermaine and Monica are in a really great band. They would really like to play more shows and get more people to listen to their music. The problem is that they live in a small town that is far from any big city. Devise a goal setting plan that will..
Elucidate how does this performance compare to practical worst case. Illustrate what would happen to throughput of line if we increased capacity at a non-bottleneck station also held WIP constant at its current level.
Compare and contrast the regulatory alternatives in terms of the efficiency and efficacy these alternatives might provide to businesses and consumers. Next, determine which solution is the most viable, considering the likelihood of support from busin..
Apply the procedures for stakeholder analysis presented in Box 3.0 "Conducting a Stakeholder Analysis" to generate a list of at least five to ten (5-10) stakeholders who affect or are affected by problems in the issue area chosen for analysis
Identify two specific types of variance and trend analysis techniques. Provide a brief description and the benefits of using each technique, as it relates to your risk management project for this course.
Analyze and discuss how the role of human resources today can provide value as a strategic partner in an organization.
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