Reference no: EM131009317
Imports
These data measure imports of goods and services into the United States, quarterly from 1981 through 2011 1n = 124 quarters2. The data are given in billions of dollars, expressed at an annual rate. The data table includes a column named Quarter, with con- secutive values 1, 2, c124, for modeling time trends.
(a) Prior to the recession in 2008, the trend in the value of net imports has a clear bend. Some- times, one can use a log transformation to "take the bend" out of a time series. Does a timeplot of log10 of imports produce a linear trend?
(b) What problems occur if you model the log of imports prior to the fourth quarter of 2008 using a linear trend model? (Regress log10 imports on Quar- ter.) What conditions of the SRM are not satisfied?
(c) As an alternative to trend models, consider using a simpler method: Convert the sequence of im- ports into percentage changes. Does the timeplot of the percentage change prior to the fourth quarter of 2008 appear simple?
(d) Forecast the level of imports for the fourth quarter of 2008, using a model of your choosing. Include a prediction interval for your forecast.
(e) Does your interval include the value for the fourth quarter of 2008?
|
Create a new product that would appeal to your market
: Choose the target market for your product, and describe your target market in detail. Create a new product that would appeal to your market. Develop at least one question for each characteristic of the target market
|
|
Consider the gas carburizing of a gea
: Consider the gas carburizing of a gear of 1020 steel at 927oC. Calculate the carbon content at 0.5mm beneath the surface of the gear at 5hr carburizing time
|
|
The strategy for controlling the rotor speed of a variable
: The strategy for controlling the rotor speed of a variable speed wind turbine is to aim at the relation shown in the figure below between the rotational speed of the generator and the generator power.
|
|
Sampled digitally at sampling frequencies
: A sine wave at frequency f= 90 Hz is sampled digitally at sampling frequencies fs=200,160 and 50 Hz respectively. For each case, discuss whether there is aliasing. Also for each case, calculate the aliasing (perceived) frequency.(b) Using EXCEL (or M..
|
|
Data measure imports of goods and services
: These data measure imports of goods and services into the United States, quarterly from 1981 through 2011 1n = 124 quarters2. The data are given in billions of dollars, expressed at an annual rate. The data table includes a column named Quarter, wit..
|
|
Data measure imports of goods and services
: These data measure imports of goods and services into the United States, quarterly from 1981 through 2011 1n = 124 quarters2. The data are given in billions of dollars, expressed at an annual rate. The data table includes a column named Quarter, wit..
|
|
Calculate the carbon content at 0.5mm beneath
: Consider the gas carburizing of a gear of 1020 steel at 927oC. Calculate the carbon content at 0.5mm beneath the surface of the gear at 5hr carburizing time. Assume the carbon content at the surface is 0.90% and that the steel has a nominal carbon co..
|
|
Problem regarding the compensation
: These data measure hourly compensation in the US manufacturing sector from 1987 through 2011. The data are assembled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from surveys. The value of the index was set to 100 in 2005, so the data indicate relative amoun..
|
|
The average annual electrical energy
: Calculate: 1) the average annual electrical energy, 2) the average electrical power, 3) the maximum number of panels that can be installed, if some minimum space has to be left for technician to walk through.
|