Critical reasoning for a business problem solving

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Reference no: EM132372219

Purpose of the assessment

(with ULO Mapping) Students are required to show the understanding of the principles and techniques of business research and statistical analysis taught in the course.

Assignment Specifications

This assignment aims at Understand various qualitative and quantitative research methodologies and techniques, and other general purposes are:

1. Explain how statistical techniques can solve business problems
2. Identify and evaluate valid statistical techniques in a given scenario to solve business problems
3. Explain and justify the results of a statistical analysis in the context of critical reasoning for a business problem solving
4. Apply statistical knowledge to summarize data graphically and statistically, either manually or via a computer package
5. Justify and interpret statistical/analytical scenarios that best fits business solution

Question 1

Financial analysts reviewing travel and entertainment costs might have the business objective of determining whether meal costs at city restaurants differ from meal costs at suburban restaurants. They collect data from a sample of 50 city restaurants and from a sample of 50 suburban restaurants for the cost of one meal (in $).

City Restaurant Meal Costs:

27

53

53

65

47

46

47

51

81

57

30

63

68

29

44

48

57

29

34

42

53

30

64

88

57

82

51

38

41

32

55

38

54

57

31

62

44

44

43

53

63

76

69

45

53

42

45

55

92

92

Suburban Restaurant Meal Costs:

35

33

48

52

58

51

48

40

48

36

43

42

39

49

38

48

48

56

41

41

47

30

32

54

32

54

44

48

41

33

57

34

51

57

42

62

44

29

43

50

63

72

76

45

53

42

45

55

82

91

Tasks:

a. Construct a frequency distribution for both type of restaurants using 10 classes, stating the Frequency, Relative Frequency, Cumulative Relative Frequency and Class Midpoint.
b. Using (a), construct a histogram for both types of restaurants.
c. Based upon the raw data, what is the mean, median and mode for both types of restaurants?

Question 2

You are the manager of a supermarket and concerned about a forthcoming reduction in the annual advertising budget proposed by the owner. You manage many products that all require separate marketing strategies, predominantly supported by advertising. To justify your request for a higher advertising budget, you collected data on annual sales and annual advertising expenditure.

Product

Annual Sales ($1000)

Annual Advertising Expenditure ($1000)

1

200

80

2

200

80

3

240

120

4

180

50

5

170

40

6

160

40

7

210

50

8

230

90

9

230

110

10

200

60

11

210

50

12

190

80

Tasks:

a. Is above a population or a sample? Explain the difference.
b. Calculate the standard deviation of the annual sales. Show your workings.
c. Calculate the Inter Quartile Range (IQR) of the annual advertising expenditure. When is the IQR more useful than the standard deviation? (Give an example based upon annual advertising expenditure.)
d. Calculate the correlation coefficient. Interpret the correlation coefficient.

Question 3

(We are using the same data set we used in Question 2)

You are the manager of a supermarket and concerned about a forthcoming reduction in the annual advertising budget proposed by the owner. You manage many products that all require separate marketing strategies, predominantly supported by advertising. To justify your request for a higher advertising budget, you collected data on annual sales and annual advertising expenditure.

Product

Annual Sales ($1000)

Annual Advertising Expenditure ($1000)

1

200

80

2

200

80

3

240

120

4

180

50

5

170

40

6

160

40

7

210

50

8

230

90

9

230

110

10

200

60

11

210

50

12

190

80

Tasks:

a. Explain how you select dependent variable (Y) and independent variable (X) between annual sales and annual advertising expenditure.
b. Calculate AND interpret the Regression Equation (Interpret slope and intercept). You are welcome to use Excel to check your calculations, but you must first do them by hand. Show your workings.
c. Calculate AND interpret the Coefficient of Determination.

Question 4

You are the manager of the Holmes Hounds Big Bash League cricket team. Some of your players are recruited in-house (that is, from the Holmes students) and some are bribed to come over from other teams. You have 2 coaches. One believes in scientific training in computerised gyms, and the other in "grassroots" training such as practising at the local park with the neighbourhood kids or swimming and surfing at Main Beach for 2 hours in the mornings for fitness. The table below was compiled:

 

Scientific training

Grassroots training

Recruited from Holmes

students

28

82

External recruitment

45

22

Tasks (show all your workings):
a. What is the probability that a randomly chosen player will be from Holmes OR receiving Grassroots training?
b. What is the probability that a randomly selected player will be External AND be in scientific training?
c. Given that a player is from Holmes, what is the probability that he is in scientific training?
d. Is training independent from recruitment? Show your calculations and then explain in your own words what it means.

Question 5

You are an investment manager for a hedge fund. There are currently a lot of rumours going around about the "hot" property market on the Gold Coast, and some of your investors want you to set up a fund specialising in Surfers Paradise apartments.

You do some research and discover that the average Surfers Paradise apartment currently sells for $0.9 million. But there are huge price differences between newer apartments and the older ones left over from the 1980's boom. This means prices can vary a lot from apartment to apartment. Based on sales over the last 12 months, you calculate the standard deviation to be $270 000.

There is an apartment up for auction this Saturday, and you decide to attend the auction. Tasks (show your workings):

A. Assuming a normal distribution, what is the probability that apartment will sell for over $1.5 million?

B. What is the probability that the apartment will sell for over $0.8 million but less than $0.9 million?

Question 6

You are an investment manager for a hedge fund. There are currently a lot of rumours going around about the "hot" property market on the Gold Coast, and some of your investors want you to set up a fund specialising in Surfers Paradise apartments.

Last Saturday you attended an auction to get "a feel" for the local real estate market. You decide it might be worth further investigating. You ask one of your interns to take a quick sample of 50 properties that have been sold during the last few months. Your previous research indicated an average price of $0.9 million but the average price of your assistant's sample was only $850 000.

However, the standard deviation for her research was the same as yours at $270 000.

Tasks (show your workings):

A. Since the apartments on Surfers Paradise are a mix of cheap older and more expensive new apartments, you know the distribution is NOT normal. Can you still use a Z-distribution to test your assistant's research findings against yours? Why, or why not?

B. You have over 2 000 investors in your fund. You and your assistant phone 45 of them to ask if they are willing to invest more than $1 million (each) to the proposed new fund. Only 11 say that they would, but you need at least 30% of your investors to participate to make the fund profitable. Based on your sample of 45 investors, what is the probability that 30% of the investors would be willing to commit $1 million or more to the fund?

Reference no: EM132372219

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Reviews

len2372219

9/18/2019 2:37:07 AM

Probability Demonstration of Demonstration outstanding of very good knowledge on knowledge on simple probability simple probability Probability distribution- z & Central Limit Theorem Demonstration of outstanding knowledge on probability distribution and standard normal distribution (z) Demonstration of very good knowledge on probability distribution and standard normal distribution (z)

len2372219

9/18/2019 2:36:58 AM

Excellent Very Good Summary Statistics Demonstration of Demonstration and Graphs outstanding of very good knowledge on knowledge on summary statistics summary statistics Measures of Demonstration of Demonstration Variability and outstanding of very good Association knowledge on knowledge on measures of measures of variability and variability and association association Linear Regression Demonstration of Demonstration outstanding of very good knowledge on knowledge on linear regression linear regression

len2372219

9/18/2019 2:36:49 AM

3. Linear Regression: a) Dependent and Independent Variables b) Estimating the regression equation c) Coefficient of determination 5 marks 1 mark 3 marks 1 mark 4. Probability: a) b) c) and d) joint probability and conditional probability 5 marks 5. Normal Probability distribution 5 marks 6. Central Limit Theorem and Estimation 5 marks TOTAL Weight 30%

len2372219

9/18/2019 2:36:42 AM

Marking criteria Marking criteria Weighting 1. Summary Statistics and Graphs: a) Frequency distribution b) Histogram c) Summary statistics 5 marks 2.5 mark 1 mark 1.5 mark 2. Measures of Variability and Association: a) Differentiating sample and population b) Standard deviation c) Range and IQR d) Correlation coefficient 5 marks 1 mark 1 mark 1.5 mark 1.5 mark

len2372219

9/18/2019 2:36:27 AM

Due Date Week 10 Submission Guidelines • All work must be submitted on Blackboard by the due date along with a completed Assignment Cover Page. • The assignment must be in MS Word format, no spacing, 12-pt Arial font and 2 cm margins on all four sides of your page with appropriate section headings and page numbers. • Reference sources must be cited in the text of the report, and listed appropriately at the end in a reference list using Harvard referencing style.

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