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The following data show the number of laptop computers sold each month at a retail store:
Month
Unit Sales
January
200
February
230
March
225
April
240
May
210
June
180
July
160
August
310
September
320
October
270
November
250
December
300
a. Assuming the estimated trend from May to June was 24 and the forecast for June was 190, use trend-adjusted exponential smoothing with a 5 0.3 and
b 5 0.2 to forecast sales for each of the seven following months: July, August, September, October, November, December, and January.
b. Use regression for the data from January to June to create a forecast for each month from July to the following January.
c. Compare the two sets of forecasts generated in parts a and b. Which forecast model produces a better MFE? MAD?
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