Reference no: EM133049254
Cost Analysis in the Technology Industry: A subsidiary of Elektra Electronics has developed new software that allows Windows-based personal computers to run all Apple (i.e., Mac, iPhone, iPad, etc.) and Android applications. Elektra has collected preliminary data on the weekly total cost of producing the new product at a number of different levels of production. Cost data are available in the worksheet entitled "Software Cost".
a) Generate a scatterplot in order to understand the nature of the relationship between weekly quantity produced and weekly total cost. Use this information to complete the statements below.
According to the scatterplot, weekly total cost --- decreases sharply remains the same increases sharply at first, then it --- levels off decreases sharply increases sharply for a while, and then it begins to --- decrease again increase again levels off , as the quantity produced increases. There appears to be bend(s) or curve(s) in the data which suggests that a --- 2nd order polynomial reciprocal transformation 4th order polynomial logarithmic transformation 3rd order polynomial regression model is appropriate.
b) Use the data to fit three separate regression models. For the first model, fit the 2nd order polynomial regression model to predict weekly total cost. For the second model, fit the 3rd order polynomial regression model to predict weekly total cost. For the third model, fit the 4th order polynomial regression model to predict weekly total cost.
Provide summary measures for each model separately in the table below. (Enter your R2 values as percents to two decimal places and enter your standard errors to three decimal places.)
Model
|
R2
|
R2adj
|
se
|
Second-Order Model
|
%
|
%
|
|
Third-Order Model
|
%
|
%
|
|
Fourth-Order Model
|
%
|
%
|
|
According to your analysis so far, summarize your results.
According to R2adj, the third-order model is clearly worse than either the second or fourth-order models, however, results are not so clear concerning whether the second or fourth-order model is best.According to R2adj, the second-order model is clearly superior to either the third or fourth-order models. According to R2adj, the fourth-order model is clearly worse than either the second or third-order models, however, results are not so clear concerning whether the second or third-order model is best.According to R2adj, the second-order model is clearly worse than either the third or fourth-order models, however, results are not so clear concerning whether the third or fourth-order model is best.According to R2adj, the fourth-order model is clearly superior to either the second or third-order models.According to R2adj, the third-order model is clearly superior to either the second or fourth-order models.
c) Perform the appropriate statistical test to test whether the fourth-order model explains a statistically significant amount of variation in total weekly cost above and beyond of that explained by the third-order model. Use a 5% significance level.
State the appropriate test statistic name, degrees of freedom, test statistic value, and the associated p-value (Enter your degrees of freedom as a whole number, the test statistic value to three decimal places, and the p-value to four decimal places).
---Select--- G z t p F ( ) = , p ---Select--- > ≤ = ≥ <
State your decision.
The fourth-order model explains a significant amount of variation in total weekly cost compared to the third-order model. Therefore, the fourth-order term in the model is not needed and a simpler model is preferred.The fourth-order model explains an insignificant amount of variation in total weekly cost compared to the third-order model. Therefore, the fourth-order term in the model is needed and the fourth-order model is best. The fourth-order model explains a significant amount of variation in total weekly cost compared to the third-order model. Therefore, the fourth-order term in the model is needed and the fourth-order model is best.The fourth-order model explains an insignificant amount of variation in total weekly cost compared to the third-order model. Therefore, the fourth-order term in the model is not needed and a simpler model is preferred.
d) Regardless of your results above, assume that the third-order model is best. Based on this estimated total cost function, provide the estimated marginal total cost function (Enter all function coefficients to four decimal places).
C'(x) =
e) Compute the following quantities WITHOUT any intermediate rounding. In other words, do NOT use the rounded version of the function you reported above in part d. Instead, use the one stored in your EXCEL worksheet. Enter your answers to two decimal places.
How quickly is the weekly total cost increasing when the level of production is 100 units per week?
How quickly is the weekly total cost increasing when the level of production is 400 units per week?
How quickly is the weekly total cost increasing when the level of production is 725 units per week?
Quantity
|
Cost
|
110
|
15670.76
|
500
|
23405.66
|
120
|
18380.88
|
510
|
23145.39
|
340
|
23191.53
|
620
|
24464.14
|
350
|
22262.63
|
130
|
17012.08
|
510
|
23712.91
|
60
|
13728.09
|
80
|
14777.4
|
360
|
21645.45
|
110
|
15983.57
|
120
|
16254.58
|
230
|
20811.9
|
500
|
22145.26
|
650
|
25873.01
|
510
|
23094.15
|
90
|
14473.49
|
30
|
10810.92
|
250
|
20647.02
|
160
|
17342.48
|
710
|
27978.15
|
580
|
23724.68
|
560
|
23031.68
|
510
|
24193.06
|
340
|
22032.14
|
430
|
21703.87
|
660
|
25802.86
|
160
|
19589.52
|
360
|
23020.11
|
510
|
22350.73
|
520
|
22894.49
|
670
|
26330.24
|
510
|
23090.06
|
80
|
14072.29
|
740
|
30801.06
|
660
|
26305.13
|
250
|
20907.3
|
610
|
24660.3
|
380
|
21717.19
|
10
|
7132.79
|
760
|
30773.76
|
460
|
22831.66
|
380
|
22242.87
|
380
|
21411.74
|
250
|
18686.31
|
540
|
22751.03
|
430
|
21957.92
|
360
|
23092.64
|
550
|
23171.41
|
30
|
9890.3
|
300
|
20918.65
|
30
|
13103.14
|
120
|
17733.49
|
700
|
28261.58
|
690
|
27784.98
|
620
|
24911.21
|
800
|
36389.01
|
800
|
32989.9
|
360
|
21781.93
|
230
|
20480.66
|
520
|
21205.32
|
520
|
22512.59
|
510
|
24730.43
|
460
|
19778.44
|
370
|
22718.31
|
370
|
21864.31
|
390
|
22794.56
|
130
|
18682.11
|
80
|
14434.91
|
250
|
18966.93
|
130
|
17563.93
|
640
|
28181.57
|
400
|
22574.92
|
800
|
34484.12
|
430
|
22946.85
|
560
|
23943.21
|
620
|
24346.69
|
660
|
26324.26
|
30
|
10622.52
|
430
|
22247.62
|
550
|
23766.4
|
460
|
22794.75
|
30
|
11170.02
|
800
|
35079.01
|
110
|
15928.94
|
130
|
17397.95
|
300
|
23065.57
|
440
|
23248.85
|
400
|
21781.95
|
170
|
18099.79
|
120
|
16266.64
|
120
|
17441.66
|
540
|
22637.82
|
480
|
22443.35
|
160
|
17973.58
|
250
|
20820.46
|
510
|
22105.08
|
110
|
16005.45
|
520
|
22771.04
|
300
|
21372
|
380
|
21949.94
|
510
|
21284.16
|
620
|
23692.35
|
340
|
22329.97
|
550
|
23186.41
|
110
|
16214.73
|
380
|
21830.46
|
60
|
13411.67
|
360
|
21810.07
|
110
|
14902.48
|
430
|
22888.18
|
190
|
21034.96
|
430
|
22459.69
|
500
|
22541.96
|
620
|
24826.46
|
760
|
31807.33
|
250
|
21103.83
|
120
|
16178.64
|
370
|
22762.99
|
400
|
19607.21
|
70
|
12830.7
|
380
|
21656.21
|
510
|
22429.83
|
400
|
21939.05
|
20
|
9201.14
|
640
|
25381.11
|
740
|
29910.93
|
500
|
20920.47
|
Fuel Economy 2: Fuel economy data are available for all 50 states plus the District of Columbia. Build a regression model to forecast per capita fuel consumption in gallons (FUELCON) from the ratio of licensed drivers to private and commercial motor vehicles registered (DRIVERS), the number of miles of federally funded highways (HWYMILES), the tax per gallon of gasoline in cents (GASTAX), and the average household income in dollars (INCOME) and obtain the appropriate model diagnostic statistics: Use the Shapiro-Wilk test statistic to test the assumption of the normality of the model residuals. Use a 5% level of significance. The data can be found in the worksheet entitled "FUELCON4".
(a) State the model equation.
FUELCON = ??1DRIVERS + ??2HWYMILES + ??3GASTAX + ??4INCOMEDRIVERS = ??0 + ??1FUELCON + ??2HWYMILES + ??3GASTAX + ??4INCOME DRIVERS = ??1FUELCON + ??2HWYMILES + ??3GASTAX + ??4INCOMEFUELCON = ??0 + ??1DRIVERS + ??2HWYMILES + ??3GASTAX + ??4INCOMEHWYMILES = ??0 + ??1FUELCON + ??2FUELCON + ??3GASTAX + ??4DRIVERS
(b) What is being tested here? (Choose one)
The assumption of constant variance.The assumption of independence. Whether there is a linear relationship between x and y.Whether all of the x variables are important in predicting y.The assumption of normally-distributed disturbances.The assumption of linearity.
(c) Which hypotheses are being tested? (Choose one)
H0: The model variance is constant
Ha: The model variance is not constantH0: All of the x variables in the model are not important
Ha: Atleast one of the x variables is important H0: ??1 = 1.0
Ha: ??1 ≠ 1.0H0: Disturbances are normal
Ha: Disturbances are non-normalH0: ??1 = 0
Ha: ??1 ≠ 0
(d) State the decision rule.Reject H0 if p < 0.10.
Do not reject H0 if p ≥ 0.10.Reject H0 if p < 0.05.
Do not reject H0 if p ≥ 0.05. Reject H0 if p > 0.10.
Do not reject H0 if p ≤ 0.10.Reject H0 if p > 0.05.
Do not reject H0 if p ≤ 0.05.
(e) What is the name of the test statistic? (Choose one)
Shapiro-Wilk's WTest of Constant Variance Test of IndependenceThe Partial F TestKolmogorov-Smirnov's DAnderson-Darling's A2
(f) State the appropriate test statistic name, test statistic value, and the associated p-value (Enter the test statistic value to three decimal places, and the p-value to four decimal places).
---Select--- z W D A t F = , p ---Select--- < ≤ = ≥ >
(g) What conclusion can be drawn from the test result?
Reject H0. The assumption of independence has not been met.Do not reject H0. There is not a linear relationship between x and y. Reject H0. There is a linear relationship between x and y.Do not reject H0. The assumption of independence has been met.Do not reject H0. The assumption of constant variance has been met.Reject H0. The assumption of constant variance has not been met.Reject H0. The assumption of normally-distributed disturbances has not been met.Do not reject H0.The assumption of normally-distributed disturbances has been met.
OBSERVATION NUMBER
|
STATE
|
FUELCON
|
DRIVERS
|
HWYMILES
|
GASTAX
|
INCOME
|
1
|
Alabama
|
547.92
|
0.85
|
11,849
|
18
|
24426
|
2
|
Alaska
|
440.38
|
0.81
|
4,532
|
8
|
30997
|
3
|
Arizona
|
456.9
|
0.9
|
9,455
|
18
|
25479
|
4
|
Arkansas
|
530.08
|
1.07
|
7,949
|
21.7
|
22912
|
5
|
California
|
426.21
|
0.76
|
32,478
|
18
|
32678
|
6
|
Colorado
|
474.78
|
0.71
|
11,015
|
22
|
32957
|
7
|
Connecticut
|
432.44
|
0.92
|
3,820
|
25
|
41930
|
8
|
Delaware
|
492.97
|
0.88
|
1,260
|
23
|
32121
|
9
|
Florida
|
461.55
|
0.91
|
17,272
|
13.6
|
28493
|
10
|
Georgia
|
564.82
|
0.81
|
16,950
|
7.5
|
28438
|
11
|
Hawaii
|
336.97
|
0.92
|
1,089
|
16
|
28554
|
12
|
Idaho
|
484.83
|
0.69
|
6,466
|
25
|
24257
|
13
|
Illinois
|
406.99
|
0.8
|
19,700
|
19
|
32755
|
14
|
Indiana
|
524.01
|
0.74
|
10,261
|
15
|
27532
|
15
|
Iowa
|
532.39
|
0.61
|
10,037
|
20
|
27283
|
16
|
Kansas
|
483.31
|
0.81
|
10,494
|
21
|
28507
|
17
|
Kentucky
|
532.77
|
0.77
|
10,302
|
16.4
|
25057
|
18
|
Louisiana
|
513.8
|
0.77
|
8,954
|
20
|
24084
|
19
|
Maine
|
472.68
|
0.94
|
3,474
|
22
|
36385
|
20
|
Maryland
|
463.46
|
0.89
|
6,387
|
23.5
|
34950
|
21
|
Massachusetts
|
436.57
|
0.9
|
7,264
|
21
|
38845
|
22
|
Michigan
|
504.95
|
0.84
|
16,942
|
19
|
29538
|
23
|
Minnesota
|
532.52
|
0.66
|
12,509
|
20
|
32791
|
24
|
Mississippi
|
541.06
|
0.97
|
8,747
|
18.4
|
21643
|
25
|
Missouri
|
549.16
|
0.92
|
13,580
|
17
|
28029
|
26
|
Montana
|
549.35
|
0.68
|
10,456
|
27
|
23532
|
27
|
Nebraska
|
503.1
|
0.79
|
8,067
|
24.5
|
28564
|
28
|
Nevada
|
448.81
|
1.13
|
5,976
|
24.75
|
29860
|
29
|
New Hampshire
|
541.67
|
0.87
|
2,405
|
19.5
|
33928
|
30
|
New Jersey
|
465.52
|
0.89
|
9,150
|
10.5
|
38153
|
31
|
New Mexico
|
504.77
|
0.89
|
9,654
|
18.5
|
23162
|
32
|
New York
|
296.44
|
1.1
|
18,998
|
22
|
35884
|
33
|
North Carolina
|
510.05
|
0.97
|
13,632
|
24.1
|
27418
|
34
|
North Dakota
|
580.32
|
0.66
|
7,415
|
21
|
25538
|
35
|
Ohio
|
458.31
|
0.74
|
16,807
|
22
|
28619
|
36
|
Oklahoma
|
523.89
|
0.68
|
11,123
|
17
|
24787
|
37
|
Oregon
|
439.09
|
0.85
|
10,138
|
24
|
28000
|
38
|
Pennsylvania
|
417.36
|
0.87
|
18,448
|
26
|
30617
|
39
|
Rhode Island
|
382.82
|
0.88
|
1,037
|
29
|
29984
|
40
|
South Carolina
|
557.53
|
0.92
|
9,272
|
16
|
24594
|
41
|
South Dakota
|
577.84
|
0.7
|
7,753
|
22
|
26301
|
42
|
Tennessee
|
506.3
|
0.83
|
12,036
|
20
|
26758
|
43
|
Texas
|
502.17
|
0.93
|
49,678
|
20
|
28486
|
44
|
Utah
|
430.53
|
0.87
|
7,310
|
24.5
|
24202
|
45
|
Vermont
|
555.78
|
0.99
|
2,138
|
20
|
27992
|
46
|
Virginia
|
529.52
|
0.81
|
14,453
|
17.5
|
32295
|
47
|
Washington
|
446.63
|
0.83
|
10,802
|
23
|
31582
|
48
|
West Virginia
|
466.31
|
0.94
|
5,390
|
25.65
|
22725
|
49
|
Wisconsin
|
466.08
|
0.83
|
13,088
|
27.3
|
28911
|
50
|
Wyoming
|
715.55
|
0.67
|
7,841
|
14
|
28807
|
51
|
Washington D.C.
|
289.99
|
1.38
|
391
|
20
|
40498
|
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