Compute the forecast using trend model

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Reference no: EM132222483

Given the following table of prices over the past 12 month, answer the questions that follow.

Week (X) Price Jan-16 3.5 Feb-16 3.7 Mar-16 4 Apr-16 4.2 May-16 4.3 Jun-16 4.34 Jul-16 4.36 Aug-16 4.4 Sep-16 4.44 Oct-16 4.38 Nov-16 4.4 Dec-16 5.5

a. Use a 2-month moving average on all the data.

b. Use a 3-month weighted moving average. Use weight of 5 for most recent period, and 2 for each subsequent period.

c. Compute forecastsfor each month using exponentialsmoothing, with an initial January forecast = 3.50. Use α = 0.3 and α = 0.6.

d. Compute the forecast using TREND (Regression) model.

e. Using MAD for all models, which yields a more accurate forecast?

Reference no: EM132222483

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